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Big Gain in February Payrolls

The U.S. economy added 379,000 jobs in January, ahead of expectations. The unemployment rate dropped to 6.2%. Most of the job gains occurred in leisure and hospitality, with smaller gains in temporary help services, healthcare and social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing. Employment declined in state and local government, education, construction, and mining. The labor market continues to reflect the impact of the pandemic, as the shape and character of the workforce is changing. In February, 22.7% of employed persons teleworked because of the pandemic, up from 21.8% in November; this trend is likely to remain intact through 2021. The current number of jobs is 8.7 million lower than the February 2020 level. The civilian labor force is down 4.5 million from last February, as these workers have given up on finding jobs. On Thursday, the Labor Department reported that another 745,000 people filed initial unemployment claims, and the total of continuous claims was 4.4 million, down from 4.9 million a month ago. The data indicates that the employment environment, while improving, is still under stress -- a point Fed Chairman Powell made in a press appearance Thursday. We expect the unemployment rate will remain high, and the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates low, into 2022. ...  22.7% of employed persons teleworked because of the pandemic, up from 21.8% in November; this trend is likely to remain intact through 2021. The current number of jobs is 8.7 million lower than the February 2020 level. The civilian labor force is down 4.5 million from last February, as these workers have given up on finding jobs. On Thursday, the Labor Department reported that another 745,000 people filed initial unemployment claims, and the total of continuous claims was 4.4 million, down from 4.9 million a month ago. The data indicates that the employment environment, while improving, is still under stress -- a point Fed Chairman Powell made in a press appearance Thursday. We expect the unemployment rate will remain high, and the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates low, into 2022.   more

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